Rain and snow for a cold Easter Sunday
Ice on Lake Minnetonka
Ice was declared Friday on Lake Minnetonka at 5:30 p.m. by the Hennepin County Sheriff’s Office and the Freshwater Society.
There has been extensive icing over the past week in the metro area, including Lake Nokomis last Monday. You can see more ice release dates across the Minnesota DNR region by clicking here.
Easter Sunday rain/snow showers
Forecast Loop: 7:00 a.m. Sunday to 1:00 p.m. Monday.
As we head into Easter Sunday, it won’t be the prettiest Easter on record for the Twin Cities. We will watch a system pass over the upper Midwest as we head into Sunday (and even into Monday), bringing with it rain showers and snow showers. In the Twin Cities it will start with light snow or a rain/snow mix before changing to rain in the afternoon, back to flurries as we head into Sunday evening, and either flurries or a rain/snow mix through Monday. As you head into northern Minnesota, the precipitation will remain mostly as snow for the duration of the event.
Overall, up to a quarter inch of liquid (rain or melted winter precipitation) is expected across much of the state Sunday through Monday, with greater amounts along the North Shore. While we may see some wet snow accumulation here in the Twin Cities (about half an inch), up to about an inch is possible in central Minnesota with 1-3 inches as you head north. The heaviest amounts are likely to be in far northwest Minnesota and along the northern coast.
As we look at some Easter statistics from the Midwest Regional Climate Center, the most snowfall MSP saw on an Easter Sunday was 6.6″ in 2020. The coldest low was -2F with the warmest high being 88F a moveable holiday (it can be anywhere between March 22 and April 25 each year), the weather can easily vary from Easter to Easter.
So, again, we’ll be watching for the possibility of a wintry mix or snow showers turning into rain as we head into Easter Sunday in the Twin Cities. Morning lows will be in the teens and 20s with highs climbing into the low/mid 40s.
Statewide highs will be 10 to 20 F below average with a chance of rain and snow. Definitely not a good day for an outdoor egg hunt!
More rain showers this week
Forecast Loop: 7:00 a.m. Tuesday to 7:00 a.m. Thursday.
As we head into the middle of the week, we will see another possibility of precipitation moving into the Upper Midwest. While a few rain showers or flurries could be possible on Tuesday, the bulk of the precipitation will move on Wednesday. In southern and most of central Minnesota, it should be mostly rain, with more chance of snow or mixed precipitation the further north you go. Note, more rain is possible as we head into Friday (with maybe even a few thunderstorms).
Warmer temperatures ahead!!
While we remain around 10-15F below average through Tuesday, we are finally starting to see some warming as we head into the second half of the week! Highs will climb into the 50s as we head into Wednesday and Thursday, which is actually still below average! As we head into Friday, it looks like we might be hitting the 60s.
The cold, muddy and windy “spring” of 2022
By Paul Douglas
Happy Easter! Or is it groundhog day? The tormented spring of 22 limps along with cool temperatures, muddy encounters and way too much wind.
Thanks in large part to a cool La Nina signal in the Pacific Ocean, cold air is lingering over southern Canada longer than usual. Which means the heart of the jet stream, the high-speed highway for storms, is 300-400 miles south of its usual location in mid-April. Each successive storm brings some of that high-velocity air to ground level, creating wild gusts of wind, but also helping to break up ice on area lakes.
6.6″ of snow fell during Easter 2020. KARE-11 meteorologist Belinda Jensen reports snow on 7 of the past 30 Easters at MSP. A slush blanket is possible later in the day, but a trend to Slow warming this week means rain on Wednesday, and a colorful assortment of showers and T-thunderstorms through the weekend as temperatures hit the 60s, possibly 70 degrees next weekend.
Forget the Easter egg hunt. I’m looking for gloves and a positive attitude. This too should pass…
Paul’s Twin Towns Extended Forecast
SUNDAY: PM snow. Coated at night. Wake up 27. High 40. Chance of precipitation 90%. Wind SE 10-15 mph.
MONDAY: Showers lessen with strong winds. Wake 30. High 38. Chance of precipitation 50%. NW wind 20-45 mph.
TUESDAY: Partially sunny and cool. Wake 28. High 45. Chance of precipitation 10%. Wind SE 7-12 mph.
WEDNESDAY: Probable showers. Wake 40. High 47. Chance of precipitation 70%. Wind S 10-20 mph.
THURSDAY: Lots of sunshine, pleasant. Wake 37. High 59. Chance of precipitation 10%. Wind W 7-12 mph.
FRIDAY: Showers, T-storms possible. Wake 45. High 60. Chance of precipitation 70%. Wind E 10-20 mph.
SATURDAY: Humid with showers, a few thunderstorms in T. Wake 48. High 67. Chance of precipitation 80%. Wind SE 10-20 mph.
Minneapolis Weather Almanac and Solar Data
*Duration of the day: 13 hours, 18 minutes and 14 seconds
*Daylight WON since yesterday: 3 minutes and 3 seconds
* When do we see 14 hours of daylight: April 26 (14 hours, 2 minutes, 30 seconds)
* When is sunrise at/before 6:30? : April 14 (6:30 a.m.)
* When is sunset at/after 8:00 PM?: April 17 (8:01 p.m.)
This day in weather history
1929: Heavy downpour occurs in Lynd, Minnesota (near Marshall), where 5.27 inches of rain would fall in 24 hours.
National weather forecast
For your Easter Sunday, we’re tracking storms in the southern United States, rain and snow in the northeast, and some chance of rain/snow in the western United States.
More than three inches of rain could fall through Monday in parts of the Deep South. We’re still tracking the chance of snow in the northern part of the states as we head into mid-April, the heaviest falls in the Northwest Mountains and northern North Dakota.
Nebraskans encouraged to start saving water due to dry conditions
More from KETV: “With warmer temperatures and below-average rainfall in the region, two Nebraska groups have encouraged the state to start conserving water. The Lower Platte River Consortium said projections show conditions are expected to continue through at least June, which will impact the Platte River. The Lincoln Transportation and Utilities said 50% of the city’s daily water supply is used for irrigation on a hot summer day – though much of it is wasted by “over-watering , evaporation, irrigation system leaks and poorly maintained systems”.“
Factors such as extreme winds, topography and vegetation influenced the severity of burns from Oregon’s devastating 2020 megafires
More Portland State University: “In early September 2020, high winds, high heat and prolonged dry conditions resulted in explosive growth of wildfires along the western slopes of the Cascade Mountains in the Pacific Northwest. The fires have engulfed huge swaths of forest land, destroyed communities, claimed dozens of lives and cost hundreds of millions of dollars to fight. In a first-of-its-kind study examining the burning patterns of the 2020 Labor Day fires, researchers at Portland State University investigated the influence of weather, topography, vegetation, and other factors on burn severity in areas where fires have killed more than 75% of the trees. Their research confirms that extreme winds during the Labor Day holiday were the primary driver of the destructive force of the fires, but demonstrates how the structure of forest vegetation (e.g., canopy height, tree age , etc.) and topography played an important role in the burns. gravity models.“
To resurrect Jordan’s lost forests, people are planting tiny urban forests
More from WIRED: “In a park in the Marka district, east of Amman, a street cat stalks two small birds in front of shrubs and young trees. Deema Assaf, an architect-turned-ecologist, pauses speaking for a moment to observe the interaction. Only a few feet away from the unconscious birds, the cat freezes. Then he loses interest and walks away, cowering near Assaf in a rare patch of weeds – most of the unwanted vegetation had been pulled up the day before by volunteers. The birds are much thicker in the morning, Assaf says. And cats aren’t the only things they attract. The park security officer saw a hunting fennec fox; it likely came from green space around a nearby small airport, the only part of the surrounding neighborhood not dominated by cement and concrete buildings. But that is changing. The small, knee-high patch of vegetation where it now stands doesn’t look like a forest, Assaf says, but give it a few years and most of it will be 5 to 6 feet tall.“
– DJ Kayser